2020年8月18日火曜日

NY FUTURES AUGUST 17,2020

ICE COTTON FUTURES

August 17, 2020

       Open  High  Low   Close Change

Oct 20 62.88 62.88 62.86 62.62 +.33

Dec 20 63.19 63.75 63.00 63.28 +.43

Mar 21 64.03 64.63 63.96 64.19 +.43

May 21 64.93 65.29 64.67 64.88 +.41

Jul 21 65.43 65.74 65.15 65.36 +.37

Oct 21   -     -     -   64.05 +.27

Dec 21 63.95 64.09 63.62 63.75 +.18

Mar 22 64.94 65.03 64.94 64.89 +.18

May 22   -     -     -   65.59 +.18

Jul 22   -     -     -   66.18 +.18

ICE estimated futures volume:12,500

 

NY定期12月限は、小高く寄り付くと、取引時間中終始プラス圏での取引であった。引けにかけて売られるも期近12月限は43PTS高の63.28.LBにて引けた。

出来高は、12,500枚。昨日に引続き非常に低調な出来高となっている。

 

【相場動向要因】

割安感のあるインド綿やブラジル綿、アルゼンチン綿を中心に、実需の動きが中国やパキスタンなどで確認されているが、

相場への影響度は限定的。狭いレンジでの値動きが続いている。

 

穀物相場は今後数週間にわたり乾燥が強まるとの天候予想や、中西部で暴風・雹被害が発生しイールド低下につながるのでは、との情報に反応し、各相場が上昇傾向にある。

 

米国農務省週間作況報告の詳細は以下の通り;

ボール形成率は全州で80%と平均的な進捗。テキサス州・ジョージア州は順調なペースだが、南北キャロライナなど、東部地域では雨が多かったためビハインド。

ボールオープンは全州15%とこちらも平均的な進捗状況。東部では遅れが目立つ。

最後に、作況指数は全州平均でGOOD/EXCELLENT率が前週比3PTS改善している。

 

Cotton Setting Bolls - Selected States

[These 15 States planted 99% of the 2019 cotton acreage]

------------------------------------------------------------------------

                :               Week ending               :            

                :-----------------------------------------:            

      State     : August 16,  :  August 9,  : August 16,  :  2015-2019 

                :    2019     :    2020     :    2020     :   Average  

------------------------------------------------------------------------

                :                        percent                       

                :                                                      

Alabama ........:     91            85             93           92     

Arizona ........:     96            98             99           93     

Arkansas .......:     98            98            100           99     

California .....:     89            75             90           78     

Georgia ........:     93            84             92           92     

Kansas .........:     50            40             56           49     

Louisiana ......:     98            96            100           98     

Mississippi ....:     88            78             84           91     

Missouri .......:     66            44             64           76     

North Carolina .:     93            74             77           89     

Oklahoma .......:     79            55             66           69     

South Carolina .:     94            65             75           87     

Tennessee ......:     90            79             88           90     

Texas ..........:     78            66             77           77     

Virginia .......:     83            83             87           87     

                :                                                      

15 States ......:     83            71             80           82     

------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

Cotton Bolls Opening - Selected States

[These 15 States planted 99% of the 2019 cotton acreage]

------------------------------------------------------------------------

                :               Week ending               :             

                :-----------------------------------------:            

      State     : August 16,  :  August 9,  : August 16,  :  2015-2019 

                :    2019     :    2020     :    2020     :   Average  

------------------------------------------------------------------------

                :                        percent                       

                :                                                      

Alabama ........:      9             3             6            11     

Arizona ........:     32            35            46            34     

Arkansas .......:      6             5            15            10     

California .....:      4             -             -             1     

Georgia ........:     18             2             7            10     

Kansas .........:      1             1             3             2     

Louisiana ......:     22            20            36            28     

Mississippi ....:      7             4            13            14     

Missouri .......:      5             -             -             8     

North Carolina .:      6             -             2             5     

Oklahoma .......:      3             -            12             3     

South Carolina .:      7             -             -             3     

Tennessee ......:      4             -             -             6     

Texas ..........:     32            13            19            18     

Virginia .......:      1             1             1             3     

                :                                                      

15 States ......:     23             9            15            14     

------------------------------------------------------------------------

-  Represents zero.                                                     

 

Cotton Condition - Selected States: Week Ending August 16, 2020

[These 15 States planted 99% of the 2019 cotton acreage]

----------------------------------------------------------------------------

      State     : Very poor :   Poor    :   Fair    :   Good    : Excellent

----------------------------------------------------------------------------

                :                          percent                         

                :                                                           

Alabama ........:     -           -          12          73          15    

Arizona ........:     -           -           8          57          35    

Arkansas .......:     -           -          12          50          38     

California .....:     -           -          15          45          40    

Georgia ........:     1           5          20          60          14    

Kansas .........:     2           6          53          35           4    

Louisiana ......:     -           -          11          76          13    

Mississippi ....:     1           3          32          52          12    

Missouri .......:     2          13          36          49           -    

North Carolina .:     6          10          25          49          10    

Oklahoma .......:     1           3          35          44          17    

South Carolina .:     6           9          17          53          15    

Tennessee ......:     8           9          14          57          12    

Texas ..........:    10          23          40          22           5    

Virginia .......:     -          11          50          39           -    

                :                                                          

15 States ......:     7          15          33          35          10    

                :                                                          

Previous week ..:     6          17          35          33           9    

Previous year ..:     2          13          36          41           8    

----------------------------------------------------------------------------

-  Represents zero.     

 

Cotton Condition - Selected States: Week Ending August 9, 2020

[These 15 States planted 99% of the 2019 cotton acreage]

----------------------------------------------------------------------------

      State     : Very poor :   Poor    :   Fair    :   Good    : Excellent

----------------------------------------------------------------------------

                :                          percent                         

                :                                                          

Alabama ........:     -           1          22          65          12    

Arizona ........:     -           -           4          66          30    

Arkansas .......:     -           -          13          50          37    

California .....:     -           -          10          45          45    

Georgia ........:     1           5          22          57          15     

Kansas .........:     1           6          47          42           4    

Louisiana ......:     -           2          20          69           9    

Mississippi ....:     1           8          26          50          15    

Missouri .......:     2          13          36          49           -    

North Carolina .:     6          10          27          49           8    

Oklahoma .......:     -           1          36          43          20    

South Carolina .:     6          10          18          51          15    

Tennessee ......:     7          12          18          48          15    

Texas ..........:     9          26          43          18           4    

Virginia .......:     -          10          48          42           -    

                :                                                          

15 States ......:     6          17          35          33           9    

                :                                                          

Previous week ..:     3          13          39          36           9    

Previous year ..:     1           9          34          47           9    

----------------------------------------------------------------------------

-  Represents zero. 

 

END