ICE COTTON FUTURES
August 17, 2020
Open High Low Close Change
Oct 20 62.88 62.88 62.86 62.62 +.33
Dec 20 63.19 63.75 63.00 63.28 +.43
Mar 21 64.03 64.63 63.96 64.19 +.43
May 21 64.93 65.29 64.67 64.88 +.41
Jul 21 65.43 65.74 65.15 65.36 +.37
Oct 21 - - - 64.05 +.27
Dec 21 63.95 64.09 63.62 63.75 +.18
Mar 22 64.94 65.03 64.94 64.89 +.18
May 22 - - - 65.59 +.18
Jul 22 - - - 66.18 +.18
ICE estimated futures volume:12,500
NY定期12月限は、小高く寄り付くと、取引時間中終始プラス圏での取引であった。引けにかけて売られるも期近12月限は43PTS高の63.28.LBにて引けた。
出来高は、12,500枚。昨日に引続き非常に低調な出来高となっている。
【相場動向要因】
割安感のあるインド綿やブラジル綿、アルゼンチン綿を中心に、実需の動きが中国やパキスタンなどで確認されているが、
相場への影響度は限定的。狭いレンジでの値動きが続いている。
穀物相場は今後数週間にわたり乾燥が強まるとの天候予想や、中西部で暴風・雹被害が発生しイールド低下につながるのでは、との情報に反応し、各相場が上昇傾向にある。
米国農務省週間作況報告の詳細は以下の通り；
ボール形成率は全州で80%と平均的な進捗。テキサス州・ジョージア州は順調なペースだが、南北キャロライナなど、東部地域では雨が多かったためビハインド。
ボールオープンは全州15%とこちらも平均的な進捗状況。東部では遅れが目立つ。
最後に、作況指数は全州平均でGOOD/EXCELLENT率が前週比3PTS改善している。
Cotton Setting Bolls - Selected States
[These 15 States planted 99% of the 2019 cotton acreage]
------------------------------------------------------------------------
: Week ending :
:-----------------------------------------:
State : August 16, : August 9, : August 16, : 2015-2019
: 2019 : 2020 : 2020 : Average
------------------------------------------------------------------------
: percent
:
Alabama ........: 91 85 93 92
Arizona ........: 96 98 99 93
Arkansas .......: 98 98 100 99
California .....: 89 75 90 78
Georgia ........: 93 84 92 92
Kansas .........: 50 40 56 49
Louisiana ......: 98 96 100 98
Mississippi ....: 88 78 84 91
Missouri .......: 66 44 64 76
North Carolina .: 93 74 77 89
Oklahoma .......: 79 55 66 69
South Carolina .: 94 65 75 87
Tennessee ......: 90 79 88 90
Texas ..........: 78 66 77 77
Virginia .......: 83 83 87 87
:
15 States ......: 83 71 80 82
------------------------------------------------------------------------
Cotton Bolls Opening - Selected States
[These 15 States planted 99% of the 2019 cotton acreage]
------------------------------------------------------------------------
: Week ending :
:-----------------------------------------:
State : August 16, : August 9, : August 16, : 2015-2019
: 2019 : 2020 : 2020 : Average
------------------------------------------------------------------------
: percent
:
Alabama ........: 9 3 6 11
Arizona ........: 32 35 46 34
Arkansas .......: 6 5 15 10
California .....: 4 - - 1
Georgia ........: 18 2 7 10
Kansas .........: 1 1 3 2
Louisiana ......: 22 20 36 28
Mississippi ....: 7 4 13 14
Missouri .......: 5 - - 8
North Carolina .: 6 - 2 5
Oklahoma .......: 3 - 12 3
South Carolina .: 7 - - 3
Tennessee ......: 4 - - 6
Texas ..........: 32 13 19 18
Virginia .......: 1 1 1 3
:
15 States ......: 23 9 15 14
------------------------------------------------------------------------
- Represents zero.
Cotton Condition - Selected States: Week Ending August 16, 2020
[These 15 States planted 99% of the 2019 cotton acreage]
----------------------------------------------------------------------------
State : Very poor : Poor : Fair : Good : Excellent
----------------------------------------------------------------------------
: percent
:
Alabama ........: - - 12 73 15
Arizona ........: - - 8 57 35
Arkansas .......: - - 12 50 38
California .....: - - 15 45 40
Georgia ........: 1 5 20 60 14
Kansas .........: 2 6 53 35 4
Louisiana ......: - - 11 76 13
Mississippi ....: 1 3 32 52 12
Missouri .......: 2 13 36 49 -
North Carolina .: 6 10 25 49 10
Oklahoma .......: 1 3 35 44 17
South Carolina .: 6 9 17 53 15
Tennessee ......: 8 9 14 57 12
Texas ..........: 10 23 40 22 5
Virginia .......: - 11 50 39 -
:
15 States ......: 7 15 33 35 10
:
Previous week ..: 6 17 35 33 9
Previous year ..: 2 13 36 41 8
----------------------------------------------------------------------------
- Represents zero.
Cotton Condition - Selected States: Week Ending August 9, 2020
[These 15 States planted 99% of the 2019 cotton acreage]
----------------------------------------------------------------------------
State : Very poor : Poor : Fair : Good : Excellent
----------------------------------------------------------------------------
: percent
:
Alabama ........: - 1 22 65 12
Arizona ........: - - 4 66 30
Arkansas .......: - - 13 50 37
California .....: - - 10 45 45
Georgia ........: 1 5 22 57 15
Kansas .........: 1 6 47 42 4
Louisiana ......: - 2 20 69 9
Mississippi ....: 1 8 26 50 15
Missouri .......: 2 13 36 49 -
North Carolina .: 6 10 27 49 8
Oklahoma .......: - 1 36 43 20
South Carolina .: 6 10 18 51 15
Tennessee ......: 7 12 18 48 15
Texas ..........: 9 26 43 18 4
Virginia .......: - 10 48 42 -
:
15 States ......: 6 17 35 33 9
:
Previous week ..: 3 13 39 36 9
Previous year ..: 1 9 34 47 9
----------------------------------------------------------------------------
- Represents zero.
END
