ICE COTTON FUTURES
July 18, 2022
Open High Low Close Change
Oct 22 97.07 100.82 97.07 100.42 +4.01
Dec 22 89.01 93.50 88.80 93.00 +4.29
Mar 23 85.32 89.75 84.99 89.29 +4.44
May 23 83.20 88.11 83.20 87.30 +4.13
Jul 23 81.30 86.00 81.30 85.26 +4.00
Oct 23 - - - 79.62 +3.19
Dec 23 74.99 78.94 74.82 78.20 +3.14
Mar 24 75.98 77.48 75.98 77.48 +3.00
May 24 75.48 76.92 75.48 76.92 +2.65
Jul 24 75.07 76.51 75.07 76.51 +2.49
ICE estimated futures volume:32,900
12月限は前日引け値からやや強気に寄り付くとまもなく値を上げ、米国深夜時間では92セント中頃を推移した。米国での取引が活発化すると更に値を上げ、最終的に429ポイント高の93.00/LBで引けた。
推定出来高は32,900枚。
【相場動向要因】
綿花相場は前日に引き続き独自要因に乏しく、投機筋による利益確定買いが相場を牽引した。その他主要穀物相場も同様に上げて引けている。
上昇を続けていたドル指数が下げたことに反応して商品相場が買われる流れになり、新規買建玉の増加が見られた。
実需筋の動きは静かで、既契約の履行に注力している様子が窺える。
一方でテキサス州では今週摂氏43度にまで達するという予報もあり、雨予報も出ていない中で生育進捗が懸念される。
本日、米国作柄報告が発表された。
米国全体の着蕾率は74％となった。平均より4％進んでいる。
米国全体の作柄状況においては、Good/Excellentの比率が先週比1％下方修正され38％となった。テキサス州は先週から変わらず21％。
詳細は以下の通り。
Cotton Squaring - Selected States
[These 15 States planted 99% of the 2021 cotton acreage]
-----------------------------------------------------------------
: Week ending :
:-----------------------------------:
State : July 17, : July 10, : July 17, : 2017-2021
: 2021 : 2022 : 2022 : Average
-----------------------------------------------------------------
: percent
:
Alabama .........: 73 80 86 79
Arizona .........: 99 98 99 95
Arkansas ........: 92 91 95 96
California ......: 84 65 80 74
Georgia .........: 85 76 85 83
Kansas ..........: 77 66 83 60
Louisiana .......: 92 94 96 94
Mississippi .....: 72 68 83 78
Missouri ........: 98 74 81 72
North Carolina ..: 67 57 67 77
Oklahoma ........: 49 39 55 53
South Carolina ..: 73 69 85 71
Tennessee .......: 69 65 81 79
Texas ...........: 60 46 68 64
Virginia ........: 71 78 92 78
:
15 States .......: 67 57 74 70
-----------------------------------------------------------------
Cotton Setting Bolls - Selected States
[These 15 States planted 99% of the 2021 cotton acreage]
------------------------------------------------------------------------
: Week ending :
:-----------------------------------------:
State : July 17, : July 10, : July 17, : 2017-2021
: 2021 : 2022 : 2022 : Average
------------------------------------------------------------------------
: percent
:
Alabama ........: 23 30 50 37
Arizona ........: 70 59 81 56
Arkansas .......: 53 32 54 68
California .....: 34 15 20 26
Georgia ........: 32 24 38 41
Kansas .........: 8 5 23 7
Louisiana ......: 54 52 70 61
Mississippi ....: 28 25 42 35
Missouri .......: 36 32 47 28
North Carolina .: 19 8 19 28
Oklahoma .......: 9 - - 12
South Carolina .: 34 28 42 30
Tennessee ......: 17 22 35 27
Texas ..........: 17 20 25 20
Virginia .......: 21 36 50 21
:
15 States ......: 22 22 31 27
------------------------------------------------------------------------
- Represents zero.
Cotton Condition - Selected States: Week Ending July 17, 2022
[These 15 States planted 99% of the 2021 cotton acreage]
----------------------------------------------------------------------------
State : Very poor : Poor : Fair : Good : Excellent
----------------------------------------------------------------------------
: percent
:
Alabama ........: - 2 34 60 4
Arizona ........: - - 15 57 28
Arkansas .......: 1 7 19 47 26
California .....: - - 5 90 5
Georgia ........: 1 5 30 53 11
Kansas .........: 2 7 47 42 2
Louisiana ......: - 3 15 78 4
Mississippi ....: 6 5 35 51 3
Missouri .......: 6 9 32 53 -
North Carolina .: 3 9 30 55 3
Oklahoma .......: 13 18 43 26 -
South Carolina .: 1 5 20 62 12
Tennessee ......: 16 16 31 34 3
Texas ..........: 24 15 40 20 1
Virginia .......: - - 16 79 5
:
15 States ......: 15 12 35 34 4
:
Previous week ..: 13 14 34 34 5
Previous year ..: 2 7 31 49 11
----------------------------------------------------------------------------
- Represents zero.
For comparison to last week:
Cotton Condition - Selected States: Week Ending July 10, 2022
[These 15 States planted 99% of the 2021 cotton acreage]
----------------------------------------------------------------------------
State : Very poor : Poor : Fair : Good : Excellent
----------------------------------------------------------------------------
: percent
:
Alabama ........: - 2 35 58 5
Arizona ........: - - 20 49 31
Arkansas .......: 1 2 17 45 35
California .....: - - 5 90 5
Georgia ........: 1 7 31 52 9
Kansas .........: - 5 46 44 5
Louisiana ......: - 1 14 78 7
Mississippi ....: 4 7 26 60 3
Missouri .......: 7 10 25 58 -
North Carolina .: 2 13 32 51 2
Oklahoma .......: 4 9 52 35 -
South Carolina .: 4 4 22 63 7
Tennessee ......: 13 15 35 33 4
Texas ..........: 22 19 38 19 2
Virginia .......: - - 17 79 4
:
15 States ......: 13 14 34 34 5
:
Previous week ..: 16 15 33 33 3
Previous year ..: 1 8 35 44 12
----------------------------------------------------------------------------
- Represents zero.
END
