ICE COTTON FUTURES
October 5, 2020
Open High Low Close Change
Dec 20 65.70 67.14 65.65 66.03 +.21
Mar 21 66.52 67.91 66.52 66.92 +.29
May 21 67.41 68.51 67.23 67.58 +.31
Jul 21 68.20 69.00 67.83 68.08 +.24
Oct 21 67.32 67.32 66.74 66.67 -.45
Dec 21 66.38 67.00 66.38 66.17 +.21
Mar 22 67.25 67.50 67.25 66.86 +.19
May 22 67.69 67.97 67.69 67.33 +.21
Jul 22 - - - 67.43 +.01
Oct 22 - - - 65.63 +.01
ICE estimated futures volume:35,200
米国早朝までにじりじりと値を上げ、一時今年2月下旬以来となる67セント台に乗るも引けにかけ値を戻す展開。前日比21ポイント高の66.03/lbで引けた。
【米国相場動向】
トランプ米大統領が現地時間5日、予想より早く退院する見方が広まり、それに伴い景気刺激策の協議が進む期待感が高まった。加えて、現在カリブ海上に位置している熱帯低気圧デルタが勢力を強めており、週末にも上陸し、ルイジアナからアラバマにかけて収穫期を迎える綿花に悪影響を及ぼす懸念が綿花相場を押し上げた模様。
【US Cotton-Crop Progress】
本日米国農務省より発表されたCrop Progress Reportでは10月4日時点で、米国全体でコットンボールは83％オープンしており例年より8％早いペース。しかし、収穫は17％と例年より3％遅れている。週末のデルタ上陸に備え、今週は収穫を急ぐ動きもみられる。
Cotton Bolls Opening - Selected States
[These 15 States planted 99% of the 2019 cotton acreage]
------------------------------------------------------------------------
: Week ending :
:-----------------------------------------:
State : October 4, :September 27,: October 4, : 2015-2019
: 2019 : 2020 : 2020 : Average
------------------------------------------------------------------------
: percent
:
Alabama ........: 91 75 79 86
Arizona ........: 100 99 100 96
Arkansas .......: 96 95 98 97
California .....: 79 55 75 72
Georgia ........: 91 74 81 89
Kansas .........: 60 54 64 57
Louisiana ......: 96 97 99 99
Mississippi ....: 92 84 92 93
Missouri .......: 81 90 96 87
North Carolina .: 91 60 75 87
Oklahoma .......: 75 55 68 68
South Carolina .: 94 58 72 84
Tennessee ......: 88 66 85 87
Texas ..........: 75 60 83 66
Virginia .......: 93 56 75 81
:
15 States ......: 81 66 83 75
------------------------------------------------------------------------
Cotton Harvested - Selected States
[These 15 States harvested 99% of the 2019 cotton acreage]
------------------------------------------------------------------------
: Week ending :
:-----------------------------------------:
State : October 4, :September 27,: October 4, : 2015-2019
: 2019 : 2020 : 2020 : Average
------------------------------------------------------------------------
: percent
:
Alabama ........: 21 - 2 16
Arizona ........: 16 16 19 20
Arkansas .......: 36 6 13 29
California .....: 4 - 5 4
Georgia ........: 25 4 8 15
Kansas .........: - 1 1 3
Louisiana ......: 46 23 39 51
Mississippi ....: 33 10 17 31
Missouri .......: 7 3 8 16
North Carolina .: 13 1 4 8
Oklahoma .......: 1 - - 2
South Carolina .: 21 - - 14
Tennessee ......: 19 2 7 16
Texas ..........: 23 22 26 22
Virginia .......: 16 1 5 4
:
15 States ......: 22 13 17 20
------------------------------------------------------------------------
- Represents zero.
Cotton Condition - Selected States: Week Ending October 4, 2020
[These 15 States planted 99% of the 2019 cotton acreage]
----------------------------------------------------------------------------
State : Very poor : Poor : Fair : Good : Excellent
----------------------------------------------------------------------------
: percent
:
Alabama ........: 1 3 21 66 9
Arizona ........: - - 4 65 31
Arkansas .......: 2 3 14 49 32
California .....: - - 45 50 5
Georgia ........: 3 10 31 48 8
Kansas .........: 4 12 43 37 4
Louisiana ......: - 3 57 40 -
Mississippi ....: 1 11 28 46 14
Missouri .......: 2 6 38 49 5
North Carolina .: 3 18 42 33 4
Oklahoma .......: 1 4 45 50 -
South Carolina .: 6 6 20 53 15
Tennessee ......: 7 13 19 50 11
Texas ..........: 16 23 36 19 6
Virginia .......: - 13 37 50 -
:
15 States ......: 10 17 33 32 8
:
Previous week ..: 10 14 33 36 7
Previous year ..: 4 15 42 32 7
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