ICE COTTON FUTURES
JUNE 28,2021
Open High Low Close Change
Jul 21 85.17 86.66 85.17 86.66 +.23
Oct 21 88.27 88.70 88.11 88.27 +.23
Dec 21 87.19 87.94 86.80 87.43 +.25
Mar 22 86.56 87.35 86.41 87.03 +.32
May 22 86.18 86.87 86.16 86.64 +.38
Jul 22 85.19 85.71 85.04 85.57 +.41
Oct 22 - - - 81.32 +.31
Dec 22 79.00 79.46 78.97 79.32 +.26
Mar 23 79.05 79.37 79.05 79.37 +.21
May 23 - - - 79.47 +.21
ICE estimated futures volume:13,300
12月限は寄り付きから87セント付近を推移したのち、米国深夜に上昇。米国での取引が本格化する頃に88セントに届きそうになったが、耐え切れず下落。結果、前日比25ポイント高の87.43/LB。推定出来高は13,300枚。
【相場動向要因】
綿花相場は週末に西テキサスで降雨が観測されたにもかかわらず、堅調な推移。この時期の西テキサスの降雨は慈雨となり、一般的に相場の弱材料となりうるが、現時点においては最終の植え付け面積や放棄面積など推し量りがたいようで、市場参加者は米国綿花の作況を見極めるため、様子見の姿勢となった。現地水曜日に米国農務省からリリース予定の作付面積報告に大きな注目が集まる。
【US COTTON - CROP PROGRESS】
植え付けはほぼ完了したものの、MID-SOUTHでは続く降雨や熱帯低気圧の影響で生育遅れ気味。CONDITIONは先週からほぼ変化なし。
Cotton Squaring - Selected States
[These 15 States planted 99% of the 2020 cotton acreage]
-----------------------------------------------------------------
: Week ending :
:-----------------------------------:
State : June 27, : June 20, : June 27, : 2016-2020
: 2020 : 2021 : 2021 : Average
-----------------------------------------------------------------
: percent
:
Alabama .........: 45 11 25 48
Arizona .........: 86 63 77 65
Arkansas ........: 65 12 21 78
California ......: 44 25 50 44
Georgia .........: 53 35 52 50
Kansas ..........: 25 20 29 18
Louisiana .......: 62 35 59 66
Mississippi .....: 26 9 16 39
Missouri ........: 11 47 79 35
North Carolina ..: 31 17 31 38
Oklahoma ........: 9 - 11 18
South Carolina ..: 31 22 32 34
Tennessee .......: 27 26 31 43
Texas ...........: 30 20 29 27
Virginia ........: 37 20 25 42
:
15 States .......: 34 21 32 34
-----------------------------------------------------------------
- Represents zero.
Cotton Setting Bolls - Selected States
[These 15 States planted 99% of the 2020 cotton acreage]
------------------------------------------------------------------------
: Week ending :
:-----------------------------------------:
State : June 27, : June 20, : June 27, : 2016-2020
: 2020 : 2021 : 2021 : Average
------------------------------------------------------------------------
: percent
:
Alabama ........: 2 - 2 4
Arizona ........: 27 16 28 20
Arkansas .......: - - 1 10
California .....: 3 - 10 1
Georgia ........: 8 1 4 6
Kansas .........: 3 - - 1
Louisiana ......: 20 - 3 15
Mississippi ....: 2 - - 5
Missouri .......: - 1 9 1
North Carolina .: - - - 1
Oklahoma .......: - - - -
South Carolina .: 2 - 1 2
Tennessee ......: 3 - 1 3
Texas ..........: 13 6 10 10
Virginia .......: 1 1 4 -
:
15 States ......: 9 4 7 8
------------------------------------------------------------------------
- Represents zero.
Cotton Condition - Selected States: Week Ending June 27, 2021
[These 15 States planted 99% of the 2020 cotton acreage]
----------------------------------------------------------------------------
State : Very poor : Poor : Fair : Good : Excellent
----------------------------------------------------------------------------
: percent
:
Alabama ........: - 3 13 68 16
Arizona ........: - 6 11 63 20
Arkansas .......: - 2 17 53 28
California .....: - - 25 75 -
Georgia ........: 1 4 22 64 9
Kansas .........: 1 5 46 46 2
Louisiana ......: - - 3 91 6
Mississippi ....: 1 3 31 55 10
Missouri .......: - 7 25 68 -
North Carolina .: 3 7 32 55 3
Oklahoma .......: - 4 13 83 -
South Carolina .: 2 4 27 52 15
Tennessee ......: 4 10 27 53 6
Texas ..........: 1 8 55 28 8
Virginia .......: - 1 8 87 4
:
15 States ......: 1 6 41 43 9
:
Previous week ..: 1 5 42 43 9
Previous year ..: 6 18 35 35 6
--------------------
END
