June 14, 2021
Open High Low Close Change
Jul 21 87.00 87.00 83.10 84.95 -2.05
Oct 21 87.56 87.86 85.35 86.88 -2.46
Dec 21 87.75 87.75 83.92 86.13 -1.79
Mar 22 87.02 87.42 83.76 85.98 -1.75
May 22 86.80 86.96 83.60 85.79 -1.69
Jul 22 85.97 87.00 82.92 85.06 -1.50
Oct 22 - - - 81.56 -1.23
Dec 22 78.50 79.44 77.00 78.95 -.91
Mar 23 - - - 79.05 -.91
May 23 - - - 79.10 -.91
ICE estimated futures volume: 43,400
12月限は寄り付きから値を下げると、動意薄で推移。米国深夜から再度じりじりと値を下げ、米国早朝に一気に250ポイント以上下げる展開。2度リミットダウンを付けた後、米国での取引が本格化する頃、一時値を戻したが、すぐに下落。結果、前日比179ポイント安の86.13/LBで引けた。推定出来高は43,400枚。
【相場動向要因】
綿花相場は値段を維持する要因に欠き、買われすぎの状態からの修正で値を下げた。加えて、穀物相場は米国産地での降雨予想があり天候改善の見通しが高まり軒並み下落。綿花相場も追随した。綿花の作況は西テキサスの干ばつ状況の改善やデルタ地方の大雨によるダメージなど、来季の見通しは予想の域を出ず、月末の作付面積報告に注目が集まる。綿花独自の要因に欠きながら、予想外のリミットダウンとなった。
【US COTTON – CROP PROGRESS】
Cotton Planted - Selected States
[These 15 States planted 99% of the 2020 cotton acreage]
-----------------------------------------------------------------
: Week ending :
:-----------------------------------:
State : June 13, : June 6, : June 13, : 2016-2020
: 2020 : 2021 : 2021 : Average
-----------------------------------------------------------------
: percent
:
Alabama .........: 98 95 98 95
Arizona .........: 100 99 100 100
Arkansas ........: 99 98 100 100
California ......: 100 100 100 100
Georgia .........: 95 89 94 93
Kansas ..........: 97 89 96 83
Louisiana .......: 100 77 91 99
Mississippi .....: 94 91 93 95
Missouri ........: 80 98 99 93
North Carolina ..: 91 93 97 94
Oklahoma ........: 55 44 60 73
South Carolina ..: 89 90 95 94
Tennessee .......: 92 96 97 97
Texas ...........: 85 60 88 86
Virginia ........: 92 93 95 94
:
15 States .......: 87 71 90 89
-----------------------------------------------------------------
Cotton Squaring - Selected States
[These 15 States planted 99% of the 2020 cotton acreage]
-----------------------------------------------------------------
: Week ending :
:-----------------------------------:
State : June 13, : June 6, : June 13, : 2016-2020
: 2020 : 2021 : 2021 : Average
-----------------------------------------------------------------
: percent
:
Alabama .........: 11 1 5 15
Arizona .........: 66 27 49 40
Arkansas ........: 10 - 3 34
California ......: 23 5 15 17
Georgia .........: 23 8 20 22
Kansas ..........: 4 2 11 2
Louisiana .......: 24 2 22 29
Mississippi .....: 4 1 2 12
Missouri ........: - - 17 13
North Carolina ..: 7 1 4 11
Oklahoma ........: 1 - - 5
South Carolina ..: 13 - 10 12
Tennessee .......: 11 8 19 18
Texas ...........: 18 12 14 15
Virginia ........: 14 2 14 17
:
15 States .......: 16 9 13 16
-----------------------------------------------------------------
- Represents zero.
Cotton Condition - Selected States: Week Ending June 13, 2021
[These 15 States planted 99% of the 2020 cotton acreage]
----------------------------------------------------------------------------
State : Very poor : Poor : Fair : Good : Excellent
----------------------------------------------------------------------------
: percent
:
Alabama ........: - - 9 71 20
Arizona ........: - - 20 62 18
Arkansas .......: 1 3 15 54 27
California .....: - - 10 90 -
Georgia ........: 1 6 29 58 6
Kansas .........: - 1 39 57 3
Louisiana ......: - - 6 93 1
Mississippi ....: 3 9 27 55 6
Missouri .......: - 7 25 68 -
North Carolina .: - 3 26 66 5
Oklahoma .......: - - 34 66 -
South Carolina .: 1 11 18 60 10
Tennessee ......: 9 14 21 49 7
Texas ..........: 1 10 61 20 8
Virginia .......: - 2 18 77 3
:
15 States ......: 1 8 46 37 8
:
Previous week ..: 1 14 39 41 5
Previous year ..: 3 14 40 36 7
----------------------------------------------------------------------------
- Represents zero.
END.
