2021年10月19日火曜日

NY FUTURES OCTOBER 18,2021

ICE COTTON FUTURES

October 18, 2021

       Open   High   Low    Close  Change

Dec 21 107.24 109.69 105.41 107.04 -.29

Mar 22 105.00 107.30 103.55 104.95 -.05

May 22 104.00 106.19 102.63 104.07 +.10

Jul 22 102.00 104.47 101.09 102.53 +.19

Oct 22    -      -      -    94.73 +.13

Dec 22  90.35  90.95  89.50  90.38 +.08

Mar 23    -      -      -    89.24 -.06

May 23    -      -      -    87.88 -.17

Jul 23    -      -      -    86.34 -.31

Oct 21    -      -      -    82.44 -.41

ICE estimated futures volume:26,400

 

12月限は寄付きから値を上げたのち、動意薄で推移。米国での取引が本格化する頃に値を下げ、昨日引け値付近まで戻した。結果、前日比29ポイント安の107.04/LBで引けた。推定出来高は26,400枚。

 

【相場動向要因】

綿花相場は独自の要因を欠きながら、様子見の姿勢。中国綿花先物相場も変化なく前週末引値と同値で引けたこともあり、上昇材料に欠き、米国取引時間には利益確定の売りが入るものの、紡績筋の値決めが入り底堅い。

米国天気では西テキサスで週末例年より早く気温が下がったが、作況への影響は限定的と見られる。

 

US COTTON - CROP PROGRESS

引け後、米農務省より作況報告が発表された。詳細は以下の通り。

 

Cotton Bolls Opening - Selected States

[These 15 States planted 99% of the 2020 cotton acreage]

------------------------------------------------------------------------

                :               Week ending               :            

                :-----------------------------------------:            

      State     : October 17, : October 10, : October 17, :  2016-2020 

                :    2020     :    2021     :    2021     :   Average  

------------------------------------------------------------------------

                :                        percent                       

                :                                                      

Alabama ........:      91            73            84            92    

Arizona ........:     100           100           100           100    

Arkansas .......:     100            99           100           100    

California .....:      89            92            95            87    

Georgia ........:      90            82            87            94    

Kansas .........:      87            83            90            81    

Louisiana ......:     100           100           100           100    

Mississippi ....:      98            89            93            98    

Missouri .......:     100            87            96            98    

North Carolina .:      91            90            93            94    

Oklahoma .......:      90            85            90            89    

South Carolina .:      91            83            90            92    

Tennessee ......:      94            75            85            97    

Texas ..........:      92            72            83            84    

Virginia .......:      96            92            97            97    

                :                                                      

15 States ......:      93            78            86            88    

------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

Cotton Harvested - Selected States

[These 15 States harvested 99% of the 2020 cotton acreage]

------------------------------------------------------------------------

                :               Week ending               :            

                :-----------------------------------------:            

      State     : October 17, : October 10, : October 17, :  2016-2020 

                :    2020     :    2021     :    2021     :   Average  

------------------------------------------------------------------------

                :                        percent                       

                :                                                      

Alabama ........:     19            10            17            37     

Arizona ........:     26            28            31            27     

Arkansas .......:     45            20            34            61     

California .....:     19            15            35            22     

Georgia ........:     18             8            15            30     

Kansas .........:      5             2             3             5     

Louisiana ......:     71            36            54            77     

Mississippi ....:     44            21            32            57     

Missouri .......:     24            10            32            47     

North Carolina .:     13            11            18            21     

Oklahoma .......:     15             7            14            16     

South Carolina .:      5             6             8            24     

Tennessee ......:     30             2            15            44     

Texas ..........:     41            29            35            31     

Virginia .......:     13            10            18            23     

                :                                                      

15 States ......:     33            20            28            34     

------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

Cotton Condition - Selected States: Week Ending October 17, 2021

[These 15 States planted 99% of the 2020 cotton acreage]

----------------------------------------------------------------------------

      State     : Very poor :   Poor    :   Fair    :   Good    : Excellent

----------------------------------------------------------------------------

                :                          percent                         

                :                                                          

Alabama ........:     -           4          15          77           4    

Arizona ........:     7          12          16          39          26    

Arkansas .......:     1           3           8          43          45    

California .....:     -           -          10          90           -    

Georgia ........:     1           7          33          51           8    

Kansas .........:     1           3          45          47           4    

Louisiana ......:     -           4          45          45           6    

Mississippi ....:     5           7          27          48          13    

Missouri .......:     -           7          26          67           -    

North Carolina .:     -           8          22          59          11    

Oklahoma .......:     1           3          25          70           1    

South Carolina .:     -           -          13          65          22    

Tennessee ......:     1          10          20          63           6    

Texas ..........:     1           2          36          50          11    

Virginia .......:     -           3          28          66           3    

                :                                                          

15 States ......:     1           4          31          53          11    

                :                                                           

Previous week ..:     1           5          30          54          10    

Previous year ..:    10          23          27          31           9    

----------------------------------------------------------------------------

-  Represents zero.

 

END.