2018年8月21日火曜日

NY FUTURES AUGUST 20,2018

ICE COTTON FUTURES

August 20, 2018

       Open  High  Low   Close Change

Oct 18   -     -     -   83.10 +1.35

Dec 18 81.43 83.18 81.18 82.70 +1.31

Mar 19 81.87 83.45 81.44 82.87 +1.16

May 19 82.04 83.63 82.04 83.23 +1.13

Jul 19 83.02 83.97 82.93 83.57 +1.09

Oct 19   -     -     -   79.59 +1.11

Dec 19 77.74 78.48 77.66 77.90 +.52

Mar 20   -     -     -   77.94 +.52

May 20   -     -     -   78.54 +.57

Jul 20   -     -     -   78.76 +.59

ICE estimated futures volume:21.900

 

開始15分で相場は200PTS上昇。その後も強気を維持し、期近限月は軒並み100PTS以上増加で引けている。

米中貿易問題に関し、8/2223に行われる話し合いにおいて解決に向けてPOSITIVEなものになるのでは、との見方から、

大豆・綿花相場は取引早い段階から上昇した。

ラボックより60MILE南西に行った当たりで1 INCH ほど降雨があった模様。

 

以下、8/19時点での週間米綿作柄状況。

 

Cotton Setting Bolls - Selected States

[These 15 States planted 99% of the 2017 cotton acreage]

------------------------------------------------------------------------

                :               Week ending               :            

                :-----------------------------------------:            

      State     : August 19,  : August 12,  : August 19,  :  2013-2017 

                :    2017     :    2018     :    2018     :   Average  

------------------------------------------------------------------------

                :                        percent                       

                :                                                      

Alabama ........:      96            89            92            95    

Arizona ........:      92            91            96            95    

Arkansas .......:     100           100           100           100    

California .....:      73            55            57            90    

Georgia ........:      93            84            92            92    

Kansas .........:      43            54            70            47    

Louisiana ......:      99           100           100            99    

Mississippi ....:      94            95            96            91    

Missouri .......:      89           100           100            82    

North Carolina .:      90            78            87            92    

Oklahoma .......:      66            70            80            74    

South Carolina .:      83            75            80            87    

Tennessee ......:      96            93            98            89    

Texas ..........:      84            71            82            82    

Virginia .......:      94            75            90            94    

                :                                                      

15 States ......:      87            77            86            86    

------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

Cotton Bolls Opening - Selected States

[These 15 States planted 98% of the 2017 cotton acreage]

------------------------------------------------------------------------

                :               Week ending               :            

                :-----------------------------------------:            

      State     : August 19,  : August 12,  : August 19,  :  2013-2017 

                :    2017     :    2018     :    2018     :   Average  

------------------------------------------------------------------------

                :                        percent                       

                :                                                      

Alabama ........:      5            10            22             9     

Arizona ........:     43            25            35            40     

Arkansas .......:      9             7            14            10     

California .....:      -             -             -             6     

Georgia ........:     10             3             7            10     

Kansas .........:      6             1             2             4     

Louisiana ......:     28            29            48            28     

Mississippi ....:     15            12            26            13     

Missouri .......:      -            26            40             1     

North Carolina .:      6             1             3             6     

Oklahoma .......:      3             4             6             3     

South Carolina .:      8             1             4             4     

Tennessee ......:      7             8            14             6     

Texas ..........:     14            17            19            14     

Virginia .......:      -             1             7             4     

                :                                                      

15 States ......:     12            13            17            12     

------------------------------------------------------------------------

-  Represents zero.                                                    

 

Cotton Condition - Selected States: Week Ending August 19, 2018

[These 15 States planted 99% of the 2017 cotton acreage]

----------------------------------------------------------------------------

      State     : Very poor :   Poor    :   Fair    :   Good    : Excellent

----------------------------------------------------------------------------

                :                          percent                         

                :                                                          

Alabama ........:     -           -          14          69          17    

Arizona ........:     2           3          43          44           8    

Arkansas .......:     -           3           9          50          38    

California .....:     -           -           -          30          70    

Georgia ........:     -           6          25          56          13    

Kansas .........:     1           2          32          53          12    

Louisiana ......:     -           2          43          51           4    

Mississippi ....:     -           6          21          51          22    

Missouri .......:     -          10          27          50          13    

North Carolina .:     3          13          24          51           9    

Oklahoma .......:    14          28          37          19           2    

South Carolina .:     -           3          20          55          22    

Tennessee ......:     2           5          19          50          24    

Texas ..........:    21          30          27          18           4    

Virginia .......:     1           3          13          80           3                                                              

15 States ......:    13          20          25          33           9                                                             

Previous week ..:    14          20          26          32           8    

Previous year ..:     5           6          26          48          15    

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