2021年9月8日水曜日

NY FUTURES SEPTEMBER 7,2021

ICE COTTON FUTURES

September 7, 2021

       Open  High  Low   Close Change

Oct 21 95.90 95.90 95.41 95.41 -.21

Dec 21 93.99 94.28 93.53 94.05 +.03

Mar 22 93.08 93.49 92.75 93.26 unch

May 22 92.32 92.89 92.17 92.75 +.08

Jul 22 90.60 91.21 90.60 91.03 +.05

Oct 22   -     -     -   85.07 -.51

Dec 22 83.25 83.37 82.90 83.07 -.19

Mar 23   -     -     -   83.10 -.21

May 23   -     -     -   82.50 -.21

Jul 23   -     -     -   81.80 -.21

ICE estimated futures volume:15,800

 

12月限は寄り付きから値を下げ93セント中盤あたりをつけると反発。その後は94セント付近を動意薄で推移。結果、前日比3ポイント高の94.05/lbで引けた。推定出来高は15,800枚。

 

【相場動向要因】

綿花相場は米国祝日明けで、市場参加者は様子見の姿勢。

市場の注目は現地10日発表の米国農務省需給報告の米国綿花の生産量に集まる。今季米国綿花の生産量が1,726万俵との8月度の見通しに対し、市場参加者の1,700万俵から1,845万俵の間となっている。多くが1,700万俵後半に集まっており、平均は1,769万俵。

 

US Cotton - Crop Progress

本日発表された米国綿花のコンディションは、米国全体のGood/Excellentの占める割合が先週の70%から61%に減少。特にテキサスでの減少が顕著で、乾燥が続いたことが原因とみられる。

 

Cotton Setting Bolls - Selected States

[These 15 States planted 99% of the 2020 cotton acreage]

------------------------------------------------------------------------

                :               Week ending               :            

                :-----------------------------------------:            

      State     :September 5, : August 29,  :September 5, :  2016-2020 

                :    2020     :    2021     :    2021     :   Average  

------------------------------------------------------------------------

                :                        percent                       

                :                                                      

Alabama ........:      99            96            99            99    

Arizona ........:     100           100           100           100    

Arkansas .......:     100           100           100           100    

California .....:     100           100           100            89    

Georgia ........:      99            95            97            99    

Kansas .........:      92            89            93            85    

Louisiana ......:     100           100           100           100    

Mississippi ....:      95            92            94            97    

Missouri .......:      89            97            98            96    

North Carolina .:      93            93            96            97    

Oklahoma .......:      94            77            90            94    

South Carolina .:      91            97            99            97    

Tennessee ......:     100            96           100           100    

Texas ..........:      95            81            92            97    

Virginia .......:      96            90            93            98    

                :                                                      

15 States ......:      96            86            94            97    

------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

Cotton Bolls Opening - Selected States

[These 15 States planted 99% of the 2020 cotton acreage]

------------------------------------------------------------------------

                :               Week ending               :            

                :-----------------------------------------:            

      State     :September 5, : August 29,  :September 5, :  2016-2020 

                :    2020     :    2021     :    2021     :   Average  

------------------------------------------------------------------------

                :                        percent                       

                :                                                      

Alabama ........:     33            10            21            42     

Arizona ........:     91            77            88            73     

Arkansas .......:     65            23            35            54     

California .....:     14            10            30            14     

Georgia ........:     33            22            34            42     

Kansas .........:     20            20            27            15     

Louisiana ......:     71            48            58            75     

Mississippi ....:     39            42            55            44     

Missouri .......:     12             2            18            30     

North Carolina .:     23             7            22            29     

Oklahoma .......:     25            10            15            21     

South Carolina .:      6            12            17            28     

Tennessee ......:     14             5             7            29     

Texas ..........:     38            22            28            31     

Virginia .......:     25             9            16            26     

                :                                                      

15 States ......:     36            21            29            34     

------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

Cotton Condition - Selected States: Week Ending September 5, 2021

[These 15 States planted 99% of the 2020 cotton acreage]

----------------------------------------------------------------------------

      State     : Very poor :   Poor    :   Fair    :   Good    : Excellent

----------------------------------------------------------------------------

                :                          percent                         

                :                                                          

Alabama ........:     -           4          15          76           5    

Arizona ........:     -           3           9          53          35    

Arkansas .......:     -           1          10          46          43    

California .....:     -           -          20          80           -    

Georgia ........:     1           3          32          54          10    

Kansas .........:     1           8          37          48           6    

Louisiana ......:     -           2          26          70           2    

Mississippi ....:     4           5          20          64           7    

Missouri .......:     -           5          26          69           -    

North Carolina .:     2           8          25          58           7    

Oklahoma .......:     -           1          31          67           1    

South Carolina .:     -           -          22          64          14    

Tennessee ......:     6          11          20          52          11    

Texas ..........:     1           8          37          42          12    

Virginia .......:     -           1           5          93           1    

                :                                                          

15 States ......:     1           6          32          50          11    

                :                                                           

Previous week ..:     1           5          24          55          15    

Previous year ..:    11          16          28          36           9    

----------------------------------------------------------------------------

-  Represents zero

 

END