ICE COTTON FUTURES
August 09, 2021
Open High Low Close Change
Oct 21 92.14 92.14 90.70 91.30 -1.12
Dec 21 91.60 91.77 90.32 90.90 -.80
Mar 22 91.40 91.40 89.99 90.54 -.79
May 22 90.76 90.76 89.43 89.99 -.70
Jul 22 89.56 89.56 88.23 88.76 -.66
Oct 22 - - - 83.92 -.53
Dec 22 81.80 82.00 81.50 81.84 -.41
Mar 23 - - - 81.94 -.39
May 23 - - - 81.59 -.39
Jul 23 - - - 81.24 -.34
ICE estimated futures volume:20,000
12月限は寄り付き直後に本日最高値を付けたあとは、もみ合いながら徐々に値を切り下げていった。米国現地で取引が本格的になると若干値を戻し最終的に、前日比80ポイント安の90.90/LBで引けた。推定出来高は20,000枚。
【相場動向要因】
綿花相場は先週5営業日続伸し、市場ではやや買われすぎ感も漂い始めた影響から本日は小休止となった模様。世界的な新型コロナウィルスの感染再拡大が懸念されていることで、その他の穀物相場含め、金融市場は全体的に前週末から値を下げた。市場参加者らの関心は今週木曜日発表予定の8月度月間需給報告書に向けられている。
また本日、米国農務省より週間作況報告が発表された。詳細は後述。米国15州平均の着蕾率とボール形成率は例年よりそれぞれ7%と5%の遅れが報告されている。一方、作況においては、15州平均で「Excellent/Good」の割合が65%と前週よりも5%改善した結果、例年よりも16%良化している。しかしながら今後、熱帯低気圧やハリケーン等が発生する季節に入るため、市場関係者らは天候状況を注視している。
Cotton Squaring - Selected States
[These 15 States planted 99% of the 2020 cotton acreage]
-----------------------------------------------------------------
: Week ending :
:-----------------------------------:
State : August 8, : August 1, : August 8, : 2016-2020
: 2020 : 2021 : 2021 : Average
-----------------------------------------------------------------
: percent
:
Alabama .........: 98 94 97 96
Arizona .........: 100 100 100 99
Arkansas ........: 100 98 100 100
California ......: 94 99 100 92
Georgia .........: 98 94 97 98
Kansas ..........: 89 84 87 84
Louisiana .......: 100 100 100 100
Mississippi .....: 94 91 95 96
Missouri ........: 76 100 100 92
North Carolina ..: 98 88 93 98
Oklahoma ........: 94 72 87 94
South Carolina ..: 86 94 99 93
Tennessee .......: 93 87 93 98
Texas ...........: 95 76 83 94
Virginia ........: 97 92 97 97
:
15 States .......: 95 82 88 95
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Cotton Setting Bolls - Selected States
[These 15 States planted 99% of the 2020 cotton acreage]
------------------------------------------------------------------------
: Week ending :
:-----------------------------------------:
State : August 8, : August 1, : August 8, : 2016-2020
: 2020 : 2021 : 2021 : Average
------------------------------------------------------------------------
: percent
:
Alabama ........: 83 66 75 83
Arizona ........: 98 92 99 90
Arkansas .......: 98 90 94 98
California .....: 74 65 80 69
Georgia ........: 83 62 75 83
Kansas .........: 38 43 65 35
Louisiana ......: 95 82 93 96
Mississippi ....: 77 64 79 83
Missouri .......: 42 74 90 62
North Carolina .: 73 57 73 79
Oklahoma .......: 52 23 43 52
South Carolina .: 63 66 79 71
Tennessee ......: 77 51 65 82
Texas ..........: 63 41 55 60
Virginia .......: 80 61 79 73
:
15 States ......: 69 50 63 68
------------------------------------------------------------------------
Cotton Bolls Opening - Selected States
[These 15 States planted 99% of the 2020 cotton acreage]
------------------------------------------------------------------------
: Week ending :
:-----------------------------------------:
State : August 8, : August 1, : August 8, : 2016-2020
: 2020 : 2021 : 2021 : Average
------------------------------------------------------------------------
: percent
:
Alabama ........: 3 (NA) 1 2
Arizona ........: 32 22 30 24
Arkansas .......: 4 5 8 4
California .....: - (NA) - -
Georgia ........: 2 (NA) 1 3
Kansas .........: 1 - 4 1
Louisiana ......: 19 5 21 19
Mississippi ....: 4 3 22 6
Missouri .......: - (NA) - 3
North Carolina .: - - - 1
Oklahoma .......: - (NA) - -
South Carolina .: - (NA) - -
Tennessee ......: - (NA) - 2
Texas ..........: 13 (NA) 5 15
Virginia .......: 1 (NA) 1 -
:
15 States ......: 9 (NA) 5 11
------------------------------------------------------------------------
- Represents zero.
(NA) Not available.
Cotton Condition - Selected States: Week Ending August 8, 2021
[These 15 States planted 99% of the 2020 cotton acreage]
----------------------------------------------------------------------------
State : Very poor : Poor : Fair : Good : Excellent
----------------------------------------------------------------------------
: percent
:
Alabama ........: - 4 19 65 12
Arizona ........: - 2 16 56 26
Arkansas .......: - 1 16 37 46
California .....: - - 25 70 5
Georgia ........: 1 8 24 58 9
Kansas .........: - 10 40 44 6
Louisiana ......: - 1 10 82 7
Mississippi ....: 3 4 18 60 15
Missouri .......: - 11 33 55 1
North Carolina .: 3 10 24 56 7
Oklahoma .......: - 9 50 38 3
South Carolina .: - - 19 66 15
Tennessee ......: 5 9 21 55 10
Texas ..........: 1 6 30 42 21
Virginia .......: - 1 7 88 4
:
15 States ......: 1 6 28 48 17
:
Previous week ..: 1 7 32 49 11
Previous year ..: 6 17 35 33 9
----------------------------------------------------------------------------
- Represents zero.
END.
