2023年9月26日火曜日

NY FUTURES SEPTEMBER 25,2023

ICE COTTON FUTURES

September 25, 2023

        Open   High   Low    Close Change

Oct 23    -      -      -    86.42 +2.38

Dec 23  85.91  88.33  85.80  88.17 +2.26

Mar 24  86.78  88.90  86.65  88.76 +2.01

May 24  87.91  89.32  87.25  89.14 +1.78

Jul 24  87.67  88.78  87.08  88.64 +1.47

Oct 24    -      -      -    84.10 +1.15

Dec 24  81.39  81.57  81.05  81.46 +.41

Mar 25    -      -      -    81.61 +.46

May 25    -      -      -    81.51 +.46

Jul 25    -      -      -    81.41 +.46

ICE estimated futures volume: 35,800

 

12月限は寄り付きからほぼ横ばいで低調に推移した。取引終盤、米国での取引が活発化すると一気に2セントの値を上げた。結果、226ポイント高の88.17/LBで引けた。推定出来高は35,800枚。

 

【相場動向要因】

本日の綿花相場は反発した。二週間ぶりの高値をつけたのは、米国の日中に投機筋から資金が流入したことによるものとみられる。

穀物全体も投機資金が入ったことでその他穀物も軒並み上伸した。

 

熱帯低気圧のOPHELIAはノースキャロライナ州とバージニア州 の綿花畑に雨を降らせた。

影響については現段階で不明ではあるが、晴れの予報も出ており品質への影響は楽観的。

 

本日発表された植付進捗報告によると、15州全体ではボールオープンや収穫が順調に進んいる模様。

テキサス州の綿花のVERY POORの品質はやや目立っている。

詳細は以下。

 

Cotton Bolls Opening - Selected States

[These 15 States planted 99% of the 2022 cotton acreage]

------------------------------------------------------------------------

                :               Week ending               :            

                :-----------------------------------------:            

      State     :September 24,:September 17,:September 24,:  2018-2022 

                :    2022     :    2023     :    2023     :   Average  

------------------------------------------------------------------------

                :                        percent                       

                :                                                      

Alabama ........:     72            52            66            70     

Arizona ........:     79            72            79            93     

Arkansas .......:     89            85            95            92     

California .....:     58            20            30            50     

Georgia ........:     72            54            66            72     

Kansas .........:     60            81            89            49     

Louisiana ......:     94            93            97            94     

Mississippi ....:     83            79            87            81     

Missouri .......:     64            39            71            72     

North Carolina .:     78            45            60            70     

Oklahoma .......:     60            45            55            58     

South Carolina .:     64            45            66            60     

Tennessee ......:     55            42            65            63     

Texas ..........:     61            52            59            55     

Virginia .......:     74            64            70            65     

                :                                                      

15 States ......:     66            55            65            62     

------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

Cotton Harvested - Selected States

[These 15 States harvested 98% of the 2022 cotton acreage]

------------------------------------------------------------------------

                :               Week ending               :            

                :-----------------------------------------:            

      State     :September 24,:September 17,:September 24,:  2018-2022 

                :    2022     :    2023     :    2023     :   Average  

------------------------------------------------------------------------

                :                        percent                       

                :                                                      

Alabama ........:      4             1             3             3     

Arizona ........:     15            14            16            15     

Arkansas .......:      4             1             4             9     

California .....:      -             -             -             -     

Georgia ........:      3             -             2             4     

Kansas .........:      2             -             1             1     

Louisiana ......:     22            15            36            22     

Mississippi ....:     14             3            15            11     

Missouri .......:      2             -             2             4     

North Carolina .:      2             -             -             2     

Oklahoma .......:      -             -             -             -     

South Carolina .:      5             -             -             3     

Tennessee ......:      2             2             3             4     

Texas ..........:     24            20            24            21     

Virginia .......:      -             1             2             1     

                :                                                      

15 States ......:     14             9            13            13     

------------------------------------------------------------------------

-  Represents zero.                                                    

 

Cotton Condition - Selected States: Week Ending September 24, 2023

[These 15 States planted 99% of the 2022 cotton acreage]

----------------------------------------------------------------------------

      State     : Very poor :   Poor    :   Fair    :   Good    : Excellent

----------------------------------------------------------------------------

                :                          percent                         

                :                                                          

Alabama ........:     1           6          31          53           9    

Arizona ........:     -           1          28          29          42    

Arkansas .......:     2           5          22          44          27    

California .....:     -           -           5          95           -    

Georgia ........:     1           7          36          48           8    

Kansas .........:     5          18          44          30           3    

Louisiana ......:     5          20          24          50           1    

Mississippi ....:     2           9          41          42           6    

Missouri .......:     -           2          34          59           5    

North Carolina .:     2           9          41          46           2    

Oklahoma .......:    25          36          25          12           2    

South Carolina .:     -           6          38          50           6    

Tennessee ......:     5           6          14          62          13    

Texas ..........:    33          32          25           9           1    

Virginia .......:     -           1          10          88           1    

                :                                                          

15 States ......:    20          22          28          25           5    

                :                                                          

Previous week ..:    20          23          28          24           5    

Previous year ..:    15          27          27          27           4    

----------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

END